2009-09-02

The £200 billion that Mervyn King didn't get

This is old news, but I still think it's important to keep it in mind while thinking about the future of the GBP: the UK was probably the country were the credit bubble was the biggest (the UK and the US were competing for the title...) and is now probably experiencing the biggest credit deflation as well.

While this deflation is very bullish news for the GBP, the actions taken by the Keynesian Fools are very much likely to destroy the currency: Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown, who already driven the country in the ditch, debt-wise, and are now not only increasing the deficits, but with the help of Mervyn King, they are monetizing the debt.

This is the biggest credit deflation and economic down turn ever, and yet, prices are rising in the UK.

As you can see, they will not end this until they in the war against deflation.
Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of England Governor Mervyn King and two other policy makers were overruled in a push to expand the bank’s bond-purchase program to 200 billion pounds ($329 billion) as the majority favored a smaller amount.

The pound fell after the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee said it voted 6-3 to raise the total they will spend by 50 billion pounds to 175 billion pounds, according to minutes of the Aug. 6 decision released today. King, Timothy Besley and David Miles dissented in favor of a 75 billion-pound expansion.

“All members agreed that substantial further asset purchases were needed over the next three months,” the minutes said.

King, who has now been defeated three times as governor, said last week it’s “likely” that inflation will slow below 1 percent this year and won’t return to the goal until at least the end of 2012. Investors scaled back expectations for interest-rate increases next year after the comments.

“I’m stunned,” said Colin Ellis, an economist at Daiwa Securities SMBC and a former Bank of England official. “This sends a clear message that the bank is willing to do whatever it takes, and that’s encouraging. It’s more likely they’ll make extra purchases than start tightening over the next year.”

An argument for a larger expansion of the bond purchases was that “insufficient stimulatory monetary policy” would harm confidence in the recovery. The risks of “another large stimulus might be less than the possible costs of acting too cautiously,” and the policy could be reversed if found to be “overly expansive,” the minutes said. [...]

Inflation unexpectedly held at 1.8 percent in July, instead of slowing as all economists in a Bloomberg News survey had predicted. Policy makers said that without more purchases, “nominal demand would likely be insufficient to prevent inflation remaining below the 2 percent target, perhaps substantially, throughout the forecast period.”

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