2010-04-25

Is gold topping?

A strange phenomenon has been happening lately: not only everybody is bullish on gold, but gold is not making new highs in USD terms. This is a symptom of the deflation in the US, that people are confusing with high inflation (the "why?" question remains to be answered).

Interestingly, I have received two clues in the past few days that makes me believe that gold might be topping out:

1- An email from a bullion merchant in London offering discounts on gold. It's the first time I see this. Why would you ever do that? Gold is money, you can't give discount on money — except maybe when you badly need to hold to paper currency... Yet another sign of deflation and of gold sales being not as good as forecasted...


2- Adverts for gold coins on Facebook? Isn't Facebook the ultimate mainstream media?

2 comments:

NMMM.NU said...

Dont confuse the panda thing. It sais "rear" they will over bill you for sure.

About discount gold - go for it if price is right. but dont forget prices are usually 20-30 % over the spot.

pej said...

Well... yes and no... and the matter of fact is, by disagreeing, you enter the bulls camp, and kind of confirm that being a bear is kind of singularity in this market...