tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post3053372198211443094..comments2024-02-25T08:33:45.942+00:00Comments on Reality Lenses: Social Mood Illustrated by the support the Fed Gets in The Mediapejhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10958133367017526690noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-67471051993780778222012-03-03T04:39:11.108+00:002012-03-03T04:39:11.108+00:00Looks like you've been a great contrarian indi...Looks like you've been a great contrarian indicator mate.pejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10958133367017526690noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-50565678835234186012012-02-29T16:23:11.248+00:002012-02-29T16:23:11.248+00:00I think oil is a nice short at this level, and so ...I think oil is a nice short at this level, and so is the whole of the commodity complex.<br /><br />And your over bullishness on the EURO makes me suspicious.pejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10958133367017526690noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-78950675159527398362012-02-26T06:02:06.625+00:002012-02-26T06:02:06.625+00:00p.s. Oil is actually close to $110 and Brent, whic...p.s. Oil is actually close to $110 and Brent, which is more of a true Oil price is actually at $124.<br /><br />But hey, not that you would know anything about supply and demand and why that is...Tihohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10336666083094327126noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-34878453839037521382012-02-26T06:00:51.851+00:002012-02-26T06:00:51.851+00:00First, you shad you were thinking about shorting O...First, you shad you were thinking about shorting Oil... my point is why short a bull market? that is NOT an idea, that is a rookie mistake.<br /><br />Second, I never bought Oil, nor does it say anywhere on my blog that I did buy it at any point in time. I do however hold an opinion on it and I think it is going much much much higher in years form now. Probably above $200 if not more...<br /><br />Third, hold those Euros, you'll actually make some money. The Dollar is in a downtrend. Owning an OTM $1.40 option would have made you so so much more money when it gets into money, that is my point, because Euro will go much higher than $1.40!Tihohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10336666083094327126noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-43839759997042295182012-02-24T13:41:42.536+00:002012-02-24T13:41:42.536+00:00About Oil:
oil is at 105 now, 3 months later. Noth...About Oil:<br />oil is at 105 now, 3 months later. Nothing to be so happy about it. <br />First, I didn't short it.<br />Second of all, you have probably lost money by holding it due to the contango effect. <br />Finally, it's worth sharing ideas, even if I do not act on them. I don't see any problem with it.<br /><br />Finally, yes, I still have my Euros. We are at 1.34. Not bad, but 1.40 options would still be out of the money. My 1.26 options are deep in the money. I'm happy with them.PEJnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6630104052002496191.post-74527069488227641462012-02-23T15:31:03.263+00:002012-02-23T15:31:03.263+00:00Weren't you telling me how you were going to s...Weren't you telling me how you were going to short Oil back in early November when it hit $100 a barrel. How did that go? LOL, another top call.<br /><br />What about when you bought Silver and than closed it after a few days. Here we are getting ready to break the 200 MA on the upside... another top call.<br /><br />I hope you are still holding the Euro and bought that out of money call at $1.40 like I told you to do. We are at $1.33 now, so only 7 more cents to go. Dollar is toast in coming weeks...<br /><br />Always a pleasure to come back and "review" your super calls pej *cheeky smile*Tihohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10336666083094327126noreply@blogger.com